I am worried. The Redskins are universally favored to beat the Panthers today. When, in the Snyder-Cerrato era, have the Redskins beaten a beatable team?
Sportsbook Bovada.lv set Washington as 3½-point favorites over Carolina.
To say the Redskins will win today is to predict an election day win for Barack Obama, by the Redskins Rule.
"If the Redskins win their last home game before the election, the party that won the previous election wins the next election. If the Redskins lose, the challenging party's candidate wins." ~ Wikipedia (You can always trust Wikipedia.)
The Redskins Rule is a trend, not a prediction. The outcome of Washington's last home game before a presidential election has foreshadowed the outcome in 17 of the last 18 national elections. Correlation is not necessarily causative as my old statistics professor would say.
Voters have made up their minds by this point. To judge by the number of new cars I've seen on the streets since Spring, I believe the outcome has already been decided – until the president whiffed that field goal in the first debate, anyhow. The game itself has no more influence on the election than voters have on the game. The gods of football may be trying to tell us something today.
This would be a good time to quote the late Washington Post columnist Mary McGrory –
"Baseball is what we were. Football is what we have become."
ESPN's Accuscore Countdown projects the Redskins as 58 percent favorites based, oddly, on which quarterback has the best day running.
Predictionmachine.com had Washington winning 58 percent of the simulations it ran preseason when everyone was healthy.
What are the odds Redskins receivers hang on to the ball? Barack Obama, Mitt Romney and a legion of Redskins fans want to know.
Aldrick Robinson will start over Leonard Hankerson today for the #Redskins.
— Grant Paulsen (@granthpaulsen) November 4, 2012
Hog Heaven will be rocking his throwback Redskins knit cap for Washington's Homecoming Game.