Bet on it – Robert Griffin III will pass for 3700 yards and 22 touchdowns

Robert Griffin III in preseason game against Indianapolis Colts

The gambling sharps expect a very Andy Dalton-type year from Robert Griffin III, and they expect a typical performance from Pierre Garçon. That expectation for Griffin is exciting; for Garçon, it’s rather ho-hum.

Here is Bovada’s 2012 projection for RG3 compared to Dalton’s 2011 rookie performance for Cincinnati.

PLAYER

PASSING YDs

PASSING TDs

INTs

RUSHING YDs

RUSHING TDs

Griffin

3700

22

16

450

4

Dalton*

3398

20

13

152

1

* Dalton’s stats from pro-football-reference.com

Fans would be happy today if they knew with certainty that RG3 would deliver that personal performance. Fans always have the right to change their expectations as the season unfolds. Griffin-mania assures they shall — in one direction or the other.

Redskins Hog Heaven shall be disappointed if Garçon merely performed at the over/under line of 975 yards and six touchdowns. Garçon has never delivered more than 947 yards, nor more than six TDs in any year. The Redskins hired him to be the No. 1 receiver. Garçon wowed us with his speed and yards after the catch during the preseason. We look for his 2102 stats to match the eyeball test we saw last month.

Santana Moss made the most of his shot at No. 1 wide-out when he joined the Redskins in 2005 by setting the franchise single-season receiving record with 1,483 yards and nine touchdowns. Unlike Garçon, Moss burst the 1,000-yard mark before joining the Redskins.

If I were a gambling man (I am not), I would take the over on Garçon’s line. That is based on hope more than expectation. (My lawyer wants you to know that you’d be an idiot to bet real money on this advice alone. If you do and you lose the rent, you’re on your own.)

The line on Moss, by the way, is 700 yards, five touchdpwns.

Sportsbook, Bovada (www.bovada.lv, Twitter: @BovadaLV) released the over/under line for Griffin and other Washington Redskins players for the 2012 season.

Redskins Player Performance Props

Robert Griffin III – Total Passing Yards in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    3700

Robert Griffin III – Total TD Passes in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    22 ½

Robert Griffin III – Total Interceptions in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    16 ½

Robert Griffin III – Total Rushing Yards in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    450 ½

Robert Griffin III – Total Rushing Touchdowns in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    4 ½

Santana Moss – Total Receiving Yards in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    700 ½

Santana Moss – Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    5

Pierre Garcon – Total Receiving Yards in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    975 ½

Pierre Garcon – Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    6

Fred Davis – Total Receiving Yards in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    850 ½

Fred Davis – Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season

Over/Under                    5

Brian Orakpo - Total Sacks in the 2012 Regular Season

Over/Under                    9

DeAngelo Hall – Total Interceptions in the 2012 Regular Season

Over                              3½ (+120)

Under                            3½  (-150)

We do watch sports books because they reflect the expectation of those willing to put their money where their mouths are. The over-under is the line that draws an equal number of bets on both sides of the number. Call it the wisdom of the crowds; 50 million monkies can’t be wrong.

Image Source: Patrick McDermott/Getty Images North America via zimbio.com 

Anthony Brown

About Anthony Brown

Lifelong Redskins fan and blogger about football and life since 2004. Joined MVN's Hog Heaven blog in 2005 and then moved Redskins Hog Heaven to Bolguin Network. Believes that the course of a season is pre-ordained by management decisions made during the offseason. Can occasionally be found on the This Given Sunday blog and he does guest posts.

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